A home-away analysis meant to predict the outcome of the ice-hockey game Montreal Canadiens vs Carolina Hurricanes
The Montreal Canadiens travel to the Carolina Hurricanes for the first time this season, a lopsided match that starts tomorrow, December 29, 2023, the Carolina Hurricanes are seen as the favorite but the Montreal Canadiens think they will have a tough word in this match, but more, I will explain this in the following moments.
The hosts occupy the seventh place in the Western Conference, having 40 points, for a play-off place, while the guests occupy the thirteenth place, having 35 points.
As I said in the introduction, the Montreal Canadiens could provide a big surprise tonight, if we were to dissect the performances, home versus away; we notice that the hosts have quite large fluctuations: only two victories – against the Buffalo Sabers 6-2, respectively against the Vegas Golden Knights 6-3, in the rest 4 defeats, of which 3 – in extra time: 4-5 with New York Islanders, 1-2 in the shootout against the Washington Capitals, 5-6 in overtime against the Nashville Predators and 4-5 against the New York Islanders in overtime. So that, on the road Carolina Hurricanes has 21 points obtained at home, goal difference 56-48.
The guests performed much better than the hosts in both November and December: 8 wins and 7 defeats, 4 wins in regular time and 4 in extra time, 3 losses in regular time and 3 in extra time. Only 5 road losses since Nov. 1: Arizona 2-3, St. Louis 3-6, Boston 2-5, Los Angeles 0-4, respectively 3-4 in overtime against Minnesota.
Andrei (transcript of the video above)
Additional game information
Analyzing the odds, according to Sofascore in-depth analysis, when Montreal Canadiens has a given 3.1 odds, has only an probability of 29% to win the game (including overtime: OT and/or SOT). On the other hand, when Carolina Hurricanes has 1.39, they are winning almost 70% of the games (69%).
Disclaimer: The information presented in this section and the video are informative, not in any form of betting advice! Any losses attributed to the analysis and the prediction of this sports section it is not Morraevo and its author/owner responsability!
